turanВестник университета «Туран»Bulletin of "Turan" University1562-29592959-1236Университет «Туран»10.46914/1562-2959-2024-1-3-195-206turan-4254Research Article1 ЭКОНОМИКА: ИСТОРИЯ, ТЕОРИЯ, ПРАКТИКА1 ECONOMY: HISTORY, THEORY, PRACTICEДепопуляция в сельских районах Северо-Казахстанской области: социальные, экономические проблемы и механизмы регулированияDepopulation in rural areas of the North Kazakhstan region: social, economic problems and regulatory mechanismshttps://orcid.org/0009-0001-7858-497XАмироваГ. К.AmirovaG. K.

PhD, ст. преподаватель.

Астана

PhD, senior lecturer.

Astana

gulnur8383@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3707-3206АсановаА. Б.AsanovaA. B.

PhD, доцент.

Алматы

PhD, associate professor.

Almaty

altin_assan@bk.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2863-2611ЖенсханД.ZhenshanD.

К.э.н., ассоциированный профессор.

Астана

C.e.s., associate professor.

Astana

azan_tanat@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0004-0486-2908АппазоваГ. Ж.AppazovaG. Zh.

Докторант.

Астана

PhD student.

Astana

banu.appazova.1994@gmail.comАстанинский медицинский университетКазахстанAstana Medical UniversityKazakhstanКазахский национальный университет им. аль-ФарабиКазахстанal-Farabi Kazakh National UniversityKazakhstanКазахский агротехнический исследовательский университет им. С. СейфуллинаКазахстанKazakh Agrotechnical Research University named after S. SeifullinKazakhstan20240510202403195206Copyright © Амирова Г.К., Асанова А.Б., Женсхан Д., Аппазова Г.Ж., 20242024Амирова Г.К., Асанова А.Б., Женсхан Д., Аппазова Г.Ж.Amirova G.K., Asanova A.B., Zhenshan D., Appazova G.Z.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/view/4254

Исследований, определивших причины явления депопуляции в сельской местности Казахстана и Северо-Казахстанской области (СКО), очень мало. Цель исследования – изучить причины явления депопуляции в сельской местности СКО, определить ее социальные и экономические последствия и предложить механизмы регулирования. С целью определения причин процесса депопуляции в сельской местности СКО и предложения механизмов регулирования были использованы методы эмпирического, гипотетического, научного абстрагирования, динамического анализа, синтеза, сравнительного анализа, системного подхода. В статье проведен углубленный анализ коэффициента естественного прироста (убыли) населения Казахстана. Разделив население сельской местности СКО на возрастные группы, определили, какая возрастная категория уменьшается в количестве, и выдвинули гипотезу о том, чего они хотят. Правительство Казахстана разработало и продолжает разрабатывать различные программы развития сельских территорий и роста населения Северного региона. Однако коэффициент естественного прироста (убыли) населения СКО имеет отрицательное значение. Результаты исследования показали, что темпы старения населения в сельской местности этого региона интенсивные. Правительство должно определить группы и целевые направления, требующие мер поддержки, с учетом ситуации со специализацией, трудового потенциала, территориальных и возрастных особенностей областей региона.

There are very few studies that have determined the causes of depopulation in rural areas of Kazakhstan and the North Kazakhstan region (NKR). Purpose of the study – to study the causes of the phenomenon of depopulation in rural areas of the NKR, determine its social and economic consequences and propose regulatory mechanisms. To determine the causes of the depopulation process in rural areas of the North Kazakhstan region and propose regulatory mechanisms, methods of empirical, hypothetical, scientific abstraction, dynamic analysis, synthesis, comparative analysis, and systems approach were used. The article provides an in-depth analysis of the rate of natural increase (loss) in the population of Kazakhstan. Having divided the population of the rural areas of the NKR into age groups, we determined which age category was decreasing and put forward a hypothesis about what they wanted. The Government of Kazakhstan has developed and continues to develop various programs for developing rural areas and population growth in the Northern region. However, the coefficient of natural increase (loss) of the population of the North Kazakhstan region has a negative value. The study results showed that the population aging rate in rural areas of this region is intensive. The government must identify groups and target areas that require support measures, taking into account the situation with specialization, labor potential, territorial characteristics, and age characteristics of the areas of the region.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.