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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">turan</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник университета «Туран»</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Bulletin of "Turan" University</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1562-2959</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2959-1236</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Университет «Туран»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46914/1562-2959-2026-1-1-88-101</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">turan-5217</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭКОНОМИКА: ИСТОРИЯ, ТЕОРИЯ, ПРАКТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ECONOMY: HISTORY, THEORY, PRACTICE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Макропруденциальное регулирование и стабильность банковской системы в Казахстане</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Macroprudential regulation and banking stability in Kazakhstan</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6150-6492</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ильясов</surname><given-names>Д. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ilyassov</surname><given-names>D. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>к.э.н., ассоциированный профессор </p><p>г. Алматы </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>c.e.s. associate professor </p><p>Almaty </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">didarilyassov@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2683-3097</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Казыбаева</surname><given-names>М. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kazybayeva</surname><given-names>M. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>PhD, ассоциированный профессор </p><p>г. Алматы </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, associate professor </p><p>Almaty </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kazybayevam@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3373-5591</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Дюсембекова</surname><given-names>Ж. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dyussembekova</surname><given-names>Zh. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>к.э.н., ассоциированный профессор </p><p>г. Алматы </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>c.e.s., associate professor </p><p>Almaty </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">zhanar.dyussembekova@narxoz.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Университет «Туран»<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Turan University<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru">Алматинский гуманитарно-экономический университет<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Almaty Humanitarian-Economic University<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru">Университет Нархоз<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Narxoz University<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>25</day><month>03</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>88</fpage><lpage>101</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Ильясов Д.К., Казыбаева М.Н., Дюсембекова Ж.М., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Ильясов Д.К., Казыбаева М.Н., Дюсембекова Ж.М.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Ilyassov D.K., Kazybayeva M.N., Dyussembekova Z.M.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/view/5217">https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/view/5217</self-uri><abstract><p>Макропруденциальное регулирование в банковской системе является основным инструментом регулятора для поддержания финансовой стабильности. В настоящее время CAMELS остается одним из наиболее широко используемых инструментов надзорного рейтингования в Казахстане. Цифровизация, сложность финансовых продуктов, операционные риски и макрофинансовые шоки являются основными проблемами мониторинга и реализации гибкой политики. Результаты исследования показывают, что банковская система Казахстана добилась заметного улучшения системной стабильности, в первую очередь благодаря укреплению капитальных буферов, повышению уровня ликвидности и восстановлению прибыльности после ужесточения макропруденциального регулирования. Однако результаты также выявляют сохраняющиеся уязвимости, связанные с качеством активов, косвенным валютным риском и ограниченным финансовым посредничеством. Основная цель данного исследования – выявить проблемы надзора на основе CAMELS в оценке и рейтинговании рисков. Современные надзорные стандарты, эмпирическая банковская литература и развивающаяся надзорная практика Казахстана позволяют предложить усовершенствованную структуру CAMELS, которая интегрирует оценку управления, стресс-тестирование надзора, обзоры качества активов, операционную устойчивость и макроэкономическую чувствительность в традиционную структуру CAMELS. Результаты данного исследования показывают, что CAMELS сохраняет высокую практическую ценность в качестве инструмента коммуникации и определения приоритетов в рамках современной архитектуры надзора, основанной на оценке рисков. Основная цель данного исследования – выявить проблемы, связанные с надзором на основе модели CAMELS при оценке и рейтингов рисков, путем добавления перспективных методов надзора. Данное исследование подчеркивает необходимость усовершенствованного надзора в условиях цифровизации и быстро меняющейся среды. В то же время в данном исследовании предлагается более совершенная структура оценки рисков, чем модель CAMELS.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Macroprudential regulation in banking system is the main tool of a regulator to sustain financial stability. Today the application of CAMELS model for banking system of Kazakhstan is still wide. By emergence of the model in the late 1970s in the USA, the introduction of it in Kazakhstan started from the early 2000s. Digitalization, complex financial products, operational risks, and macro-financial shocks are the main challenges to monitor and implement agile policy. The study labors grounded on data from 2015 to 2025 determine that Kazakhstan’s banking system has achieved the advancements in all macroprudential indicators of fiscal stability. The main evidence of that the prudential norm settlement that provide capital buffers to unexpected hazards, demanded liquidity level and reasonable profitability. However, the findings also reveal the threats of external environment to asset quality, indirect foreign exchange risk, and lowered financial intermediation. Today for banking risk assessment and rating Kazakhstan Deposit Insurance Fund still applies CAMELS model while supervisory standards of developed countries use forward-looking methods. Therefore, this study highlights the importance of advanced risk assessment tools that allow forward looking supervision power. The main purpose of this study to reveal the challenges for CAMELS based supervision in risk assessment and rating by adding forward-looking supervision methods. This research highlights the need for advanced supervision in terms of digitalization and rapidly changing environment. Meanwhile, this study proposes more advanced risk assessment framework rather than CAMELS Model.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>макропруденциальное регулирование</kwd><kwd>стабильность банковской системы</kwd><kwd>модель CAMELS</kwd><kwd>развивающиеся рынки</kwd><kwd>надзор</kwd><kwd>ликвидность</kwd><kwd>финансовая стабильность</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>macroprudential regulation</kwd><kwd>banking stability</kwd><kwd>CAMELS model</kwd><kwd>emerging markets</kwd><kwd>supervision</kwd><kwd>liquidity</kwd><kwd>financial stability</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ledhem M., Mekidiche M. Economic growth and financial performance of Islamic banks: A CAMELS approach // Islamic Economic Studies. 2020. No. 28(1). P. 47–62.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ledhem M., Mekidiche M. 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