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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">turan</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник университета «Туран»</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Bulletin of "Turan" University</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1562-2959</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2959-1236</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Университет «Туран»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46914/1562-2959-2026-1-2-618-630</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">turan-5619</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ТРИБУНА МОЛОДОГО ИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>PLATFORM OF YOUNG RESEARCHER</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Структурный анализ импорта Казахстана из Китая: товарная и отраслевая специфика</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Structural analysis of kazakhstan’s imports from China: commodity and sectoral features</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2254-1927</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шиганбаева</surname><given-names>Н. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Shiganbayeva</surname><given-names>N. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>докторант</p><p>г. Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>doctoral student</p><p>Almaty</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">nailya.sh.02@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0184-6297</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Орловска</surname><given-names>Р.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Orlowska</surname><given-names>R.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>PhD, ассоциированный профессор</p><p>г. Гданьск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, associate professor</p><p>Gdansk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">renata.orlowska@ug.edu.pl</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4601-3865</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Оразгалиева</surname><given-names>A. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Orazgaliyeva</surname><given-names>A. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>PhD, ассоциированный профессор</p><p>г. Семей</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, associate professor</p><p>Semey</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">arailymko1978@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Университет «Туран»</institution><country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Turan University</institution><country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Гданьский университет</institution><country>Польша</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>University of Gdansk</institution><country>Poland</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>НАО «Шәкәрім университет»</institution><country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Non-profit Joint-Stock Company «Shakarim University»,</institution><country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>16</day><month>07</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>618</fpage><lpage>630</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Шиганбаева Н.Б., Орловска Р., Оразгалиева A.К., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Шиганбаева Н.Б., Орловска Р., Оразгалиева A.К.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Shiganbayeva N.B., Orlowska R., Orazgaliyeva A.K.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/view/5619">https://vestnik.turan-edu.kz/jour/article/view/5619</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье представлен анализ структуры импорта Республики Казахстан из Китайской Народной Республики за период 2019–2025 гг. Цель исследования заключается в выявлении ключевых структурных изменений импортных потоков и оценке степени их концентрации. Особое внимание уделено товарной и отраслевой структуре импорта, а также формированию экономических рисков, связанных с усилением зависимости от внешних поставок. Эмпирическую основу исследования составили данные Бюро национальной статистики Республики Казахстан и международной базы UN Comtrade. В работе использованы методы структурного, сравнительного и коэффициентного анализа. Для количественной оценки концентрации применен индекс Херфиндаля–Хиршмана (HHI), позволяющий определить степень сосредоточения импортных потоков в ограниченном числе товарных групп. Результаты исследования показали, что импорт Казахстана из Китая характеризуется устойчивым ростом и одновременной трансформацией структуры. Установлено увеличение доли машин и оборудования, транспортных средств и других технологически значимых категорий. Одновременно наблюдается снижение доли традиционных потребительских товаров. Выявлено, что рост импортных потоков сопровождается усилением их концентрации. Это подтверждается увеличением значений индекса HHI и переходом структуры импорта к высокому уровню концентрации. Научная новизна исследования состоит в обосновании взаимосвязи между структурной трансформацией импорта и формированием экономических рисков. Предложен подход к интерпретации концентрации импортных потоков как индикатора внешнеэкономической уязвимости. Практическая значимость заключается в возможности использования полученных результатов при разработке мер по диверсификации импорта, снижению зависимости от одного торгового партнера и формированию устойчивой внешнеэкономической политики. Результаты могут быть применены в аналитической и управленческой практике при оценке внешнеторговых рисков.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>This article presents an analysis of the structure of imports of the Republic of Kazakhstan from the People’s Republic of China for the period 2019–2025. The aim of the study is to identify key structural changes in import flows and to assess the degree of their concentration. Particular attention is paid to the commodity and sectoral structure of imports, as well as to the formation of economic risks associated with increasing dependence on external supplies. The empirical basis of the study includes data from the Bureau of National Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the international UN Comtrade database. The research employs structural, comparative, and coefficient-based analytical methods. The Herfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI) is used to quantitatively assess concentration, allowing for the evaluation of the extent to which import flows are concentrated within a limited number of commodity groups. The results show that Kazakhstan’s imports from China are characterized by steady growth alongside structural transformation. An increase in the share of machinery and equipment, transport vehicles, and other technologically significant categories has been identified. At the same time, the share of traditional consumer goods is decreasing. The scientific novelty of the study lies in substantiating the relationship between structural transformation of imports and the formation of economic risks. The practical significance of the study lies in the possibility of applying the results in the development of policies aimed at import diversification, reducing dependence on a single trading partner, and ensuring sustainable foreign economic policy.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>импорт</kwd><kwd>внешняя торговля</kwd><kwd>товарная структура</kwd><kwd>отраслевая структура</kwd><kwd>концентрация импорта</kwd><kwd>экономическая зависимость</kwd><kwd>диверсификация</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>foreign trade</kwd><kwd>commodity structure</kwd><kwd>sectoral structure</kwd><kwd>import concentration</kwd><kwd>Herfindahl– Hirschman Index</kwd><kwd>economic dependence</kwd><kwd>diversification</kwd><kwd>foreign trade risks</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Бюро национальной статистики Республики Казахстан. 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