Monetary and exchange policy of Kazakhstan: current problems and ways of improvement

The National Bank of Kazakhstan continues to pursue monetary policy in accordance with the principles of inflation targeting. As part of the medium-term strategy, the National Bank has reduced the target inflation corridor by one percentage point in 2020. Due to the global crisis of recent years, the National Bank has set a task to keep the inflation rate in the 4-6% corridor to stabilize the economy. The inflation rate at the end of 2020 was 7.5%. The National Bank has set a task to reduce this indicator to the level of the target corridor of 4-6% in 2021. Also, in conducting monetary policy, the National Bank has made decisions that have an anti-inflationary effect for the medium term, that is, the target level will decrease by 4% in 2021 and beyond. The preservation of monetary conditions by the regulator at a neutral level was characterized by a decrease in short-term rates after slow inflation. In 2019, against the background of a further decrease in inflation, it was decided to raise the base rate. At the same time, market participants may regard monetary conditions as the beginning of tightening. In Kazakhstan, the financial regulator sets the rate depending on the size of real and expected inflation in the country, external factors that determine the state of the balance of payments, as well as taking into account the need to maintain economic development. The article discusses the methods of conducting the monetary and monetary policy of Kazakhstan, as well as issues and ways to improve it.

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